Chapter 9 : Enabling the Organization - Decision Making

Making Business Decisions

  • Decision making process - plays a crucial role in communication and leadership for operational, managerial, and strategic projects
  • Decision making essentials (managerial decision making challenges)
    • Managers need to analyze large amounts of information
      • Innovation in communication and globalization have resulted in a dramatic increase in the variables and dimensions people need to consider when making a decision, problem solving or appraising an opportunity
    • Managers must take decisions quickly
      • Time is of the essence and people simply don not have time to sift through all the information manually
    • Manager must apply sophisticated analysis technique, such as Porter's strategies or forecasting, to make strategic decisions
      • Due to the intensely competitive global business environment, companies must offer far more than just a great product to succeed
  • Operational (decision making process)
    • Problem identification - Define the problem as clearly and precisely as possible
    • Data collection - Gather problem-related data, including who, what, where, when,why, and how. Be sure to gather facts, not rumours or opinions about the problem
    • Solution generation - Detail every solution possible, including ideas that seem fart etched
    • Solution test - Evaluate solutions in terms of feasibility (can it be completed?), suitability (is it permanent or a temporary fix?), and acceptability (can all participants from a consensus?)
    • Solution selection - Select the solution that best solution that best solves the problem and meets the needs of the business
    • Solution implementation - If the solution solves the problems, then the decisions made were correct. If not, then the decisions were incorrect and the process begins again
  • Managerial
    • At this level, employees are continuously evaluating company operations to hone the firm's abilities to identify, adapt to, and leverage change
    • These types of decisions are considered semi-structured decisions they occur in situations in which few established processes help to evaluate potential solutions, but not enough to lead to a definite recommended decisions
  • Strategic
    • At this level, managers develop overall business strategies, goals, and objectives as part of the company's strategic plan
    • Strategic decisions are highly unstructured decisions, occurring in situations in which no procedures or rules exist to guide decision makers toward the correct choice
Enhancing Decision Making with MIS
  • Operational support systems
    • Transactional information encompasses all the information contained within a single business process or unit of work, and its primary purpose is to support the performance of daily operational or structured decisions
    • Online transaction processing (OLTP) is the capture of transaction and event information using technology to 
      • process the information according to defined business rules
      • store the information
      • update existing information to reflect the new information
  • Managerial support systems
    • Analytical information encompasses all organizational information, and its primary purpose is to support the performance of managerial analysis or semi-structured decisions
    • Online analytical processing (OLAP) is the manipulation of information to create business intelligence in support of strategic decision making
    • Decision support systems (DSSs) model information using OLAP which provides assistance in evaluating and choosing among different courses of action
  • Strategic support systems
    • Executive information system (EIS) is a specialized DSS that supports senior-level executives and unstructured, long term, non routine decisions requiring judgement, evaluation, and insight
Interaction between TPS and DSS to Support Semi-structured Decisions
The Future : Artificial Intelligence
  • Artificial intelligence (AI) simulates human thinking and behaviour, such as the ability to reason and learn
  • Intelligence systems are various commercial applications of artificial intelligence
  • Expert systems are computerized advisory programs that imitate the reasoning processes of experts in solving difficult problems
  • Neural networks (artificial neural network) is a category of AI that attempts to emulate the way the human brain works
    • Learning and adjusting to new circumstances on their own
    • Lending themselves to massive parallel processing
    • Functioning without complete or well-structured information
    • Coping with huge volumes of information with many dependent variables
    • Analyzing non linear relationships in information (they have been called fancy regression analysis systems)
    • Fuzzy logic is a mathematical method of handling imprecise or subjective information
  • Genetic algorithms is an artificial intelligence system that mimics the evolutionary, survival-of-the-fittest process to generate increasingly better solutions to a problem
  • Intelligent agents is a special-purpose knowledge-based information system that accomplishes specific tasks on behalf of its users
  • Virtual reality is a computer-stimulated environment that can be a simulation of the real world or an imaginary world